Dining Drop Odds

SupaPark watches Walt Disney World dining availability around the clock. Every time a full table suddenly opens — a cancellation, a no-show released back to the pool — we log it as a drop. For each restaurant we count how often it drops, on which days of the week, and in which hour-of-day window (all times Eastern, the parks' local time). From that frequency we estimate the probability that a table will free up in the near window, and bump it up when your target date falls on the day the restaurant tends to drop on.

That turns "will it ever open?" into a number. A table that quietly drops a dozen times a week carries high odds in its usual window; one we've barely seen drop is honestly marked low. It's an early signal built on a thin history, and we show you our confidence rather than dressing it up.

Pair the odds with the timing — and let us snipe it

Drop odds tell you which tables are worth watching; the Dining Drop Sniper tells you the exact time-of-day window each one tends to drop. Pair them, then stop refreshing My Disney Experience yourself: set a free Drop Watch for the restaurant, date, and party size you want, and SupaPark monitors the reservation pool 24/7 and pings you the instant a cancellation lands.

See which tables are toughest to book in the first place on the Hardest Reservations leaderboard, or browse the full restaurant directory for menus, ratings, and details.