SupaParkFlorida residents
Disney World for Florida locals: the quietest days to go
Weekends run about 0.6 crowd levels above weekdays (5.3 vs 4.7 on SupaPark's 1–10 scale) across the next 30 forecast days at Walt Disney World (Nov 14–Dec 13, 2026); the lightest day is Tue Nov 17 at level 4. Lightning Lane sold out on 50% of measured weekend ride-days versus 51% on weekdays over the last 31 days.
Data as of Nov 14, 2026, 11:11 PM ET. Source: SupaPark's served crowd forecast and Lightning Lane log.
Living close enough to pick your day is the one advantage out-of-state visitors never get. This page is the measured version of that advantage: the crowd forecast for the next 30 days split into weekdays and weekends, the five lightest days, and how Lightning Lane sellouts compare on weekdays and weekends. It updates with every forecast run.
Weekday vs weekend, by park
| Park | Weekday avg | Weekend avg | Lightest weekday |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magic Kingdom | 3.5 | 4 | Mon Nov 16 |
| EPCOT | 7.1 | 7.2 | Tue Nov 17 |
| Hollywood Studios | 5.2 | 5.6 | Tue Nov 17 |
| Animal Kingdom | 3.2 | 4.4 | Tue Nov 17 |
The 5 lightest days in the next 30
| Date | Day | Resort avg | Magic Kingdom | EPCOT | Hollywood Studios | Animal Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Nov 17 | Weekday | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Tue Nov 24 | Weekday | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Thu Nov 19 | Weekday | 4.3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 |
| Mon Nov 23 | Weekday | 4.3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| Mon Nov 30 | Weekday | 4.3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
Lightning Lane: weekday vs weekend sellouts
Over the last 31 days (Oct 14–Nov 13, 2026), Lightning Lane sold out on 50% of measured weekend ride-days (207 of 411) and 51% of weekday ride-days (598 of 1183).
| Ride | Park | Weekday sellouts | Weekend sellouts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kali River Rapids | Animal Kingdom | 27% (6/22) | 83% (5/6) |
| Kilimanjaro Safaris | Animal Kingdom | 48% (11/23) | 88% (7/8) |
| Expedition Everest - Legend of the Forbidden Mountain | Animal Kingdom | 0% (0/21) | 29% (2/7) |
| Tiana's Bayou Adventure | Magic Kingdom | 62% (8/13) | 83% (5/6) |
| Space Mountain | Magic Kingdom | 23% (5/22) | 38% (3/8) |
| Alien Swirling Saucers | Hollywood Studios | 26% (6/23) | 38% (3/8) |
| Haunted Mansion | Magic Kingdom | 52% (12/23) | 63% (5/8) |
| Rock ’n’ Roller Coaster Starring The Muppets | Hollywood Studios | 94% (17/18) | 100% (8/8) |
How locals use this
- Go on a weekday. Weekdays averaged level 4.7 against 5.3 on weekends across the window. The table above names each park's lightest weekday; the lowest resort-wide days are listed by date.
- Book Lightning Lane at 7 AM on the rides that run out. Sellouts ran higher on weekdays (51% vs 50% of ride-days), so a weekday is not automatically the easier day to get one; the sellout table shows the rides that still close more often on weekends.
- Let an alert do the refreshing. Set one watch on the ride or table you actually want and go about your day.
Frequently asked questions
Are weekdays or weekends less crowded at Disney World for Florida residents?
Weekends run about 0.6 crowd levels above weekdays (5.3 vs 4.7 on SupaPark's 1–10 scale) across the next 30 forecast days at Walt Disney World (Nov 14–Dec 13, 2026); the lightest day is Tue Nov 17 at level 4. Lightning Lane sold out on 50% of measured weekend ride-days versus 51% on weekdays over the last 31 days.
What are the least crowded days at Disney World in the next 30 days?
Tue Nov 17 (level 4), Tue Nov 24 (level 4), Thu Nov 19 (level 4.3), Mon Nov 23 (level 4.3), Mon Nov 30 (level 4.3) — the lowest resort-wide forecast crowd levels between Nov 14 and Dec 13, 2026.
Which park is quietest on a weekday?
Animal Kingdom has the lowest weekday average in this window (level 3.2); its lightest forecast weekday is Tue Nov 17.
Does Lightning Lane sell out more on weekends?
Over the last 31 days, 207 of 411 measured weekend ride-days sold out (50%) versus 598 of 1183 on weekdays (51%). The biggest weekend jump: Kali River Rapids, 83% of weekend days versus 27% on weekdays.
Do I need an account to get alerts?
Yes. A free SupaPark account gets you one live watch with push and email alerts; create it at supapark.com/app.
Sources
- How forecast error is measured: prediction error (SupaPark methodology).