Crowd calendar · 2026 · free · labelled by certainty
For the rest of 2026, the lightest full week at Walt Disney World is the week of Oct 26 (average crowd level 5/10 across the four parks, detailed forecast), and the busiest is the week of Dec 21 (9.6/10). The remaining 81 days of 2026 average 6.2/10.
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 6:21 PM ET. Source: SupaPark's served crowd forecast.
This page answers one question: which days left in 2026 are worth booking, park by park? It is built from the same forecast that powers the interactive SupaPark crowd calendar, with one difference that matters when you are choosing dates months out: every number says whether it comes from the detailed forecast (hour-by-hour, graded against real waits) or the seasonal outlook (directional, ungraded). Days through Nov 11, 2026 come from the detailed forecast, which is built hour by hour and graded against what actually happened. Days after that come from the seasonal outlook: a directional level anchored to each park's seasonal pattern, not yet graded, and refined as each date enters the detailed window.
Crowd level runs 1–10 and is set from the forecast midday wait of each park's headliners (1 = under 24 min, 2 = 24–29, 3 = 30–35, 4 = 36–41, 5 = 42–47, 6 = 48–54, 7 = 55–61, 8 = 62–68, 9 = 69–76, 10 = 77+ min). The same scale is used for every park, so a 4 at EPCOT and a 4 at Magic Kingdom feel similarly busy for that park.
Average forecast crowd level for each park, Oct 12–Dec 31, 2026. Lower is lighter.
| Month | Magic Kingdom | EPCOT | Hollywood Studios | Animal Kingdom | All parks | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 4.1 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 5.1 | detailed |
| November 2026 | 5.3 | 7.6 | 6.6 | 5.5 | 6.3 | 11 detailed · 19 outlook |
| December 2026 | 6.2 | 7.9 | 7.1 | 6.2 | 6.9 | outlook |
Average 5.1/10 (weekdays 4.8, weekends 6.1). Lightest days: Wed Oct 28 (3.5, detailed forecast), Tue Oct 20 (3.8, detailed forecast), Thu Oct 22 (3.8, detailed forecast). Busiest: Mon Oct 19 (7), Mon Oct 26 (6.8), Sat Oct 17 (6.5). Lightest park on average: Animal Kingdom (3.9).
Average 6.3/10 (weekdays 6.1, weekends 6.7). Lightest days: Wed Nov 4 (3.5, detailed forecast), Tue Nov 3 (3.8, detailed forecast), Thu Nov 5 (3.8, detailed forecast). Busiest: Thu Nov 26 (9.5), Wed Nov 25 (9), Fri Nov 27 (9). Lightest park on average: Magic Kingdom (5.3).
Average 6.9/10 (weekdays 6.8, weekends 7). Lightest days: Tue Dec 1 (4.8, seasonal outlook), Thu Dec 3 (4.8, seasonal outlook), Tue Dec 8 (4.8, seasonal outlook). Busiest: Mon Dec 21 (10), Fri Dec 25 (10), Wed Dec 23 (9.5). Lightest park on average: Magic Kingdom (6.2).
Full Monday–Sunday weeks, averaged across the four parks. If your dates are flexible, this is the table to book from.
| Week | Magic Kingdom | EPCOT | Hollywood Studios | Animal Kingdom | All parks | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26–Nov 1 | 3.7 | 6.6 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 5 | detailed forecast |
| Nov 2–Nov 8 | 3.7 | 6.6 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 5 | detailed forecast |
| Oct 19–Oct 25 | 4 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 4 | 5.1 | detailed forecast |
| Week | Magic Kingdom | EPCOT | Hollywood Studios | Animal Kingdom | All parks | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21–Dec 27 | 9.1 | 10 | 10 | 9.1 | 9.6 | seasonal outlook |
| Nov 23–Nov 29 | 7.6 | 9.7 | 8.7 | 8.1 | 8.5 | seasonal outlook |
| Nov 16–Nov 22 | 5.6 | 7.9 | 6.6 | 6 | 6.5 | seasonal outlook |
More detail, including party nights and how past holiday weekends actually measured, is on the holiday crowd calendar.
Forecasts are only half the story. SupaPark records posted waits every few minutes; this is the measured midday (12–5 PM) average posted wait of each park's busiest rides, averaged across the four parks, for the months we have archived:
| Month | Days measured | Average posted wait |
|---|---|---|
| July 2026 | 15 | 51 min |
| August 2026 | 31 | 45 min |
| September 2026 | 30 | 43 min |
| October 2026 | 11 | 46 min |
Posted waits usually overstate the real wait; see posted vs actual.
Several planning sites publish Disney World crowd calendars, TouringPlans among them. SupaPark's differences are practical rather than magical: the calendar is free, every day is labelled as a graded forecast or a directional outlook, and our forecast error is published at supapark.com/accuracy so you can judge it yourself. We don't claim to be more accurate than anyone else; compare a few and see which one matches what you find in the parks. Our own comparison page is SupaPark vs TouringPlans.
For the rest of 2026, the lightest full week at Walt Disney World is the week of Oct 26 (average crowd level 5/10 across the four parks, detailed forecast), and the busiest is the week of Dec 21 (9.6/10). The remaining 81 days of 2026 average 6.2/10.
October 2026 averages crowd level 5.1/10 across the four parks in SupaPark's forecast (20 days). The lightest days are Wed Oct 28 (3.5), Tue Oct 20 (3.8), Thu Oct 22 (3.8); the busiest is Mon Oct 19 (7). Animal Kingdom is the lightest park on average (3.9).
November 2026 averages crowd level 6.3/10 across the four parks in SupaPark's forecast (30 days, 19 of them from the seasonal outlook). The lightest days are Wed Nov 4 (3.5), Tue Nov 3 (3.8), Thu Nov 5 (3.8); the busiest is Thu Nov 26 (9.5). Magic Kingdom is the lightest park on average (5.3).
December 2026 averages crowd level 6.9/10 across the four parks in SupaPark's forecast (31 days, 31 of them from the seasonal outlook). The lightest days are Tue Dec 1 (4.8), Thu Dec 3 (4.8), Tue Dec 8 (4.8); the busiest is Mon Dec 21 (10). Magic Kingdom is the lightest park on average (6.2).
Thanksgiving week 2026 (Nov 21–Nov 29, 2026) averages 8.3/10, 2.1 levels above the rest-of-year average of 6.2/10 (seasonal outlook). The busiest day in the window is Thu Nov 26 at 9.5.
Christmas to New Year's 2026–27 (Dec 24–Jan 1, 2027) averages 9.3/10, 3.1 levels above the rest-of-year average of 6.2/10 (seasonal outlook). The busiest day in the window is Fri Dec 25 at 10.
The detailed, accuracy-graded forecast currently runs through Nov 11, 2026 (about a month ahead). Beyond that the calendar shows a seasonal outlook several months out, labelled as directional. Every day on this page says which of the two it comes from.
Over the last 30 days, SupaPark's park-level forecasts missed the measured headliner average by 8.9 min on average (18,163 graded park-hours) — see supapark.com/accuracy. Outlook days are not graded yet, so treat them as a direction, not a promise.
Yes. The crowd calendar, the per-park levels and this page are free to read. A free account adds alerts by email; push alerts and more Merlin questions are part of the paid plans.
Crowd levels come from SupaPark's served forecast (v_park_day_forecast), the same source as /crowd, so this page and the calendar always agree. Days through Nov 11, 2026 come from the detailed forecast, which is built hour by hour and graded against what actually happened. Days after that come from the seasonal outlook: a directional level anchored to each park's seasonal pattern, not yet graded, and refined as each date enters the detailed window. Over the last 30 days, SupaPark's park-level forecasts missed the measured headliner average by 8.9 min on average (18,163 graded park-hours) — see supapark.com/accuracy. Week averages use full Monday–Sunday weeks; holiday windows are the U.S. holiday dates plus the surrounding weekend. Full method: crowd methodology.
v_park_day_forecast, detailed and long-range lanes), generated Oct 12, 2026, 6:21 PM ET.