Holiday crowd outlook · New Year's 2026–27
New Year's week 2026–27 (Dec 27, 2026–Jan 2, 2027) is outside SupaPark's detailed crowd forecast, which currently runs through Nov 11, 2026. Our long-range model, which is directional and not yet graded day by day, puts the week at an average crowd level of 9.1/10 across the four parks — busier than the rest of December and January in the same model (6.3/10). Busiest day: Fri Jan 1 (9.8); lightest: Tue Dec 29 (8.5).
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 1:33 PM ET. Source: SupaPark's served crowd forecast.
New Year's week runs from December 27 through January 2, the second half of most US schools' winter break. This page tracks New Year's week 2026–27 — Dec 27, 2026–Jan 2, 2027 — day by day for all four parks.
Forecast status: SupaPark's detailed forecast currently runs through Nov 11, 2026, so New Year's week is not in it yet. The remaining days use our long-range model: a per-park estimate that is directional — good for ranking days against each other — but not graded day by day and with no wait-minute forecast. Expect detailed numbers for New Year's week from around Nov 27, 2026; this page refreshes every hour and switches over automatically.
| Date | Magic Kingdom | EPCOT | Hollywood Studios | Animal Kingdom | Average | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Dec 27 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9.3 | Long-range |
| Mon Dec 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9.3 | Long-range |
| Tue Dec 29 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8.5 | Long-range |
| Wed Dec 30 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 8.8 | Long-range |
| Thu Dec 31 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | Long-range |
| Fri Jan 1 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9.8 | Long-range |
| Sat Jan 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8.8 | Long-range |
Averaged over the four parks, New Year's week 2026–27 sits at 9.1/10, against 6.3/10 for the other 55 long-range forecast days of December and January — busier than the rest of the month by 2.8 levels. EPCOT is the busiest park of the window (10/10) and Magic Kingdom the lightest (8.3/10).
SupaPark's permanent half-hour wait archive starts on Jul 17, 2026, so we do not have a measured New Year's from a previous year — and we will not invent one. What we do have are this year's holiday weekends: across Labor Day weekend 2026 (Sep 5–Sep 7, 2026), the four parks' headliners averaged 53 min at midday, against 47 min on ordinary weekends (22 days) and 44 min on weekdays (60 days). Holiday weekends ran 6 minutes longer than an ordinary weekend.
New Year's week 2026–27 (Dec 27, 2026–Jan 2, 2027) is outside SupaPark's detailed crowd forecast, which currently runs through Nov 11, 2026. Our long-range model, which is directional and not yet graded day by day, puts the week at an average crowd level of 9.1/10 across the four parks — busier than the rest of December and January in the same model (6.3/10). Busiest day: Fri Jan 1 (9.8); lightest: Tue Dec 29 (8.5).
Tue Dec 29, at an average level of 8.5/10 across the four parks in the long-range estimate. The busiest is Fri Jan 1 at 9.8/10.
Magic Kingdom, averaging level 8.3/10 over 7 days, versus 10/10 at EPCOT, the busiest park of the window. On the busiest day (Fri Jan 1) the lightest choice is Magic Kingdom at level 9.
SupaPark has no hard-ticket party nights on file for Magic Kingdom between Dec 27 and Jan 2, 2027, so regular day-guest hours apply unless Disney announces otherwise.
Days beyond the detailed forecast come from SupaPark's long-range model, which is directional (it ranks days against each other) and not graded day by day. The detailed, graded forecast covers about the next 31 days and should start covering New Year's week around Nov 27, 2026; this page switches over automatically.
SupaPark measured Labor Day weekend 2026: headliners averaged 53 min at midday across the four parks, versus 47 min on ordinary weekends and 44 min on weekdays (Jul 17–Oct 11, 2026).
The crowd level is SupaPark's 1–10 scale of how busy a park feels. Inside the detailed forecast it is set from the forecast midday average posted wait of that park's headliners (1 = under 24 min, 2 = 24–29, 3 = 30–35, 4 = 36–41, 5 = 42–47, 6 = 48–54, 7 = 55–61, 8 = 62–68, 9 = 69–76, 10 = 77+ min); beyond it the long-range model bands its own daily index onto the same 1–10 scale. Over the last 30 days, SupaPark's park-level forecasts missed the measured headliner average by 8.8 min on average (18,019 graded park-hours) — see supapark.com/accuracy. Hard-ticket party dates come from Disney's published calendar where available; dates marked estimated follow the typical party cadence.
v_park_day_forecast), generated Oct 12, 2026, 1:33 PM ET.ext_party_days (official calendar, or typical cadence where Disney has not published dates).wait_halfhour_archive), Jul 17, 2026–Oct 11, 2026.