Gold · MCP

Disney World dining reservation odds by chat

Ask your assistant whether you can realistically get a table, and it answers from SupaPark's own reservation checks: how often a restaurant has an opening, how many cancellations turned up recently, the odds for your party size, and when openings tend to appear. Then ask it to watch the restaurant and SupaPark alerts you when a table opens.

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What you get

The hardest reservations right now, ranked by how rarely SupaPark's checks find a table.
Drop odds: how often cancelled reservations reappear and the best day and hour to look.
Table odds for a date and party size, and times seen open today.
Dining watches by chat, confirmed with you before they are created.

The tools behind it

Find restaurants search_restaurantsSearches Walt Disney World restaurants by park or area (including Disney Springs and the resort hotels), service type, cuisine, price, character dining, and whether they take reservations.
Open dining reservations seen now get_dining_availabilityReservation times SupaPark's checks saw open at one Walt Disney World restaurant in the last 45 minutes (today and upcoming dates), the same-day openings it caught over the past week, and when cancellations tend to appear.
Odds of getting a table get_dining_table_oddsSupaPark's measured odds of getting a table at one Walt Disney World restaurant for a date, meal and party size: the chance a table turns up if you keep watching until the day, the chance one drops when the meal is full at first look, and the time of day openings usually appear.
Dining reservation drop odds get_dining_drop_oddsFor hard-to-book Walt Disney World restaurants: how often cancelled reservations reappear ("drops"), the probability of catching one, and the best day-of-week and hour to look.
Hardest dining reservations get_hardest_dining_reservationsWalt Disney World restaurants ranked by how rarely a reservation opens, from SupaPark's own availability checks: difficulty tier, the share of checks that found a table, and cancellations ("drops") caught in the last 30 days.
Watch a dining reservation watch_diningCreates an alert on this SupaPark account that fires when a reservation opens at a Walt Disney World restaurant for the given date and party size.

Not on Gold? The same data is free to browse on the web: Hardest reservations on SupaPark.

Try asking

“Find a character breakfast at EPCOT that takes reservations.”
“Has anything opened up at Be Our Guest today?”
“What are our odds of a dinner table for 4 at Cinderella's Royal Table on March 12?”
“Which hard-to-book restaurants at Magic Kingdom get the most cancellations?”
“Which Disney World restaurants are hardest to book right now?”
“Watch Space 220 for a table for 4 on June 2.”

See it answer

Examples built from real SupaPark tool output, captured at the time shown. They are not live: ask today and your assistant gets the numbers SupaPark has at that moment. The reply wording is an example; the numbers are what the tool returned.

Example · captured Nov 4, 2026, 9:48 AM ET · tool get_dining_drop_odds

Do Cinderella's Royal Table reservations ever open up?

Often. SupaPark saw 627 reservations reappear at Cinderella's Royal Table in the last 7 days, about 70 on a typical day it was checked, and the latest one turned up earlier this morning. Nothing was open at the most recent check, so the way to catch the next one is a watch. Want me to set one up for your date and party size?

See the tool output (excerpt)

{
  "name": "Cinderella's Royal Table",
  "open_slots": 0,
  "drop_count_7d": 627,
  "drops_per_active_day": 70.23,
  "last_drop_at": "2026-11-04T14:33:42Z",
  "observed_at": "2026-11-04T14:03:06Z"
}

Example · captured Nov 4, 2026, 1:03 PM ET · tool get_hardest_dining_reservations

Which Disney World restaurants are hardest to book right now?

From SupaPark's own availability checks, the hardest right now are Nomad Lounge at Animal Kingdom (a table turned up in under 1% of checks), Oga's Cantina at Hollywood Studios (also under 1%) and Cinderella's Royal Table at Magic Kingdom (1%). Cinderella's Royal Table still had 2,470 cancellations caught in the last 30 days, so a watch has a real chance there. Space 220 opened up in 17% of checks. As of 1:03 PM ET.

See the tool output (excerpt)

{
  "as_of_label": "Nov 4, 1:03 PM ET",
  "quality_state": "ok",
  "items": [
    {
      "rank": 1,
      "restaurant": "Nomad Lounge",
      "park_name": "Animal Kingdom",
      "tier": "Very Hard",
      "open_rate": "<1%",
      "drops_30d": 179
    },
    {
      "rank": 2,
      "restaurant": "Oga's Cantina",
      "park_name": "Hollywood Studios",
      "tier": "Very Hard",
      "open_rate": "<1%",
      "drops_30d": 24
    },
    {
      "rank": 3,
      "restaurant": "Cinderella's Royal Table",
      "park_name": "Magic Kingdom",
      "tier": "Very Hard",
      "open_rate": "1%",
      "drops_30d": 2470
    },
    {
      "rank": 4,
      "restaurant": "Space 220 Restaurant",
      "park_name": "EPCOT",
      "tier": "Very Hard",
      "open_rate": "17%",
      "drops_30d": 2040
    }
  ],
  "notes": [
    "Open rate = share of SupaPark's reservation-availability checks that found a table. Drops = cancellations SupaPark caught in the last 30 days."
  ]
}

Questions

Where do the odds come from?

From SupaPark's own repeated availability checks of Walt Disney World restaurants, not from reviews or guesses.

Can it book for me?

No. It looks things up and can set SupaPark watches that alert you. Booking still happens in Disney's My Disney Experience app.

What if the data is not available?

The tool tells your assistant the data is unavailable and why, and every live answer carries the time the data was read. It never fills the gap with an estimate presented as live data.

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