We measure Disney World. Then we grade ourselves on it.

SupaPark is a Walt Disney World intelligence and planning platform — live wait times, a best-time-to-ride forecaster, a crowd calendar, Lightning Lane and dining alerts, and750+ planning guides. It never books anything; it watches and alerts, and you book in Disney's own My Disney Experience app. Here's what actually backs the numbers.

SupaPark is an independent planning app. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by The Walt Disney Company or its affiliates. SupaPark does not use any Disney copyrighted images, logos, characters or artwork — all artwork, including our guide character Merlin, is SupaPark’s own original work. Disney, Walt Disney World and attraction names are trademarks of their respective owners and are used only to identify the places we write about.

What we measure and how

Every number on SupaPark comes from one of these measurements. We collect them ourselves, except Real Wait, which is an estimate; none of them is an official Disney figure.

Posted standby waits

What it is: The standby wait Disney posts for every attraction in Magic Kingdom, EPCOT, Hollywood Studios and Animal Kingdom.How we get it: Read from Disney’s publicly displayed wait times every few minutes through each operating day and stored with a timestamp, so every ride has a minute-by-minute history.Ride directory →

Real Wait

What it is: Our estimate of the wait you will actually stand in, which is often shorter than the posted number.How we get it: A ride- and hour-specific correction, built on historical posted-vs-actual data (2018–19, TouringPlans), applied to the live posted wait.Real Wait →

Crowd level (1–10)

What it is: A relative, per-park crowd index for each day: 1–3 light, 4–7 moderate, 8–10 heavy. It is not a headcount.How we get it: Built from historical waits, the park calendar (holidays, events, hours) and live wait signals for near-term days.Crowd calendar methodology →

Lightning Lane prices and availability

What it is: Lightning Lane Multi Pass prices for all four parks, Single Pass prices for the five Single Pass headliners we track, return-time availability, sell-outs and refills.How we get it: Tracked through the day and kept as a price and availability history, so a price can be compared with its own recent range.Is Lightning Lane worth it? →

Dining reservation openings

What it is: Tables that open up at Walt Disney World restaurants after cancellations (“drops”).How we get it: Availability is checked continuously; each new opening is logged with its restaurant, date and time, which is how we rank restaurants by how often they drop.Dining drops →

Ride downtime

What it is: When an attraction stops operating and when it reopens.How we get it: Detected from status changes in the same live feed and rolled up into weekly downtime reports.Data reports →

Exact definitions of every published metric (posted wait, Lightning Lane sellout, Sellout Index, Multi Pass price, ride downtime, dining drops, prediction error) are on the data methodology page, and the citable figures live on the SupaPark data hub.

How we grade our own forecasts

A forecast is only useful if it's honest about whether it's actually working. Every day, SupaPark compares its served ride-wait and crowd-calendar forecasts against a simple baseline — "the same ride, same hour, same weekday, a week ago" — over a rolling window, and publishes the result internally as a skill score: positive means the model beats that baseline, negative means it doesn't.

As of this writing, our per-ride, per-hour wait forecasts (the numbers on the ride pages) beat that baseline by roughly 7% over the trailing grading window — a real, if modest, edge over just assuming "same as last week." Our park-day crowd-level forecasts (the crowd calendar) are running close to that baseline right now — for one of the two ways we measure it, essentially even; for the other, currently slightly behind. We're not going to round that up. It means the calendar's day-to-day comparisons are still worth using, but we don't think its wait-time-in-minutes precision is beating a simple week-ago comparison at this moment, and we're working on it. Full methodology, including the exact metrics, is on the crowd calendar methodology page.

Our honesty rules

• We never invent a feature, a price, or a fact we haven't verified.
• We describe forecasts with appropriate uncertainty language (likely, often, based on recent patterns) instead of false confidence.
• We never claim market leadership, unique coverage, or a speed/accuracy advantage without current evidence to back it up.
• SupaPark only watches and alerts — it never books, holds, or confirms anything. Every booking happens in Disney's own My Disney Experience app, by you.
• Articles on this site are researched and written with AI assistance and reviewed against our live park data — see the disclosure on every article page.

Citing SupaPark

You're welcome to quote our numbers. Please name “SupaPark (supapark.com)” as the source and link the page the figure came from. Our weekly data reports can be reused under the data license, and /accuracy shows how our forecasts scored over the last 30 days. Coverage dates and the latest measured figures, each dated, are on the SupaPark facts sheet.

Who's behind it

SupaPark is built by a small team, not a large media company. That's part of why the numbers above matter to us — a small team's credibility rests on the data holding up, not on marketing copy. If something on this site looks wrong, we'd genuinely like to know: reach us through the Help Center.